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Calculate How Many Votes You Need To Win Your Election

Brendan Finucane
Brendan Finucane
February 5, 2019
5 min read
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Vote goal calculator

Having an idea of how many votes you need to secure at the polls is a great advantage when it comes to planning your field and community engagement strategies for an upcoming political campaign. It will help decide how many doors you need to knock and help you when laying out targets for your volunteers.

So what maths must we do to understand how many votes we need to get elected?

We use a simple formula that we call the Vote Calculator to help us determine how many votes will be necessary to see someone win an election.

vote-calculator

You need to understand the following stats to help you get the total:

  • Electorate size : 12000
  • Turnout percentage: Around the 65% mark

Once you have gathered these figures, you can begin to make a rough estimation. We can deduce that 7800 people voted on average in the last 3 election (65% of the 12000 electorate).
To win an election you need 50% of the votes cast plus 1.

That is 3901 votes according to our example above.

This will help in your initial grassroots organizing plans and your GOTV operations close to election day.

Get your free 7-day trial of Ecanvasser

Sign up now to have our campaign consultants guide you through your 7-day trial

Speak to salesSpeak to sales

Listening to our current users,  we are aware that there can be an internal struggle of team management when it comes to organizing quickly. To get people out on doors, the back and forth over Whatsapp, Messenger, and (insert other apps here) can be endless. We aim to streamline this process for you with Ecanvasser. Now organizers can commit via the Walk app (their canvassing app!) and get notified in the run-up to the event so that they don’t forget. By building it into the door knocking process life has gotten a lot easier for campaign managers.

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Calculate How Many Votes You Need To Win Your Election

Brendan Finucane
5 min read

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Vote goal calculator

Having an idea of how many votes you need to secure at the polls is a great advantage when it comes to planning your field and community engagement strategies for an upcoming political campaign. It will help decide how many doors you need to knock and help you when laying out targets for your volunteers.

So what maths must we do to understand how many votes we need to get elected?

We use a simple formula that we call the Vote Calculator to help us determine how many votes will be necessary to see someone win an election.

vote-calculator

You need to understand the following stats to help you get the total:

  • Electorate size : 12000
  • Turnout percentage: Around the 65% mark

Once you have gathered these figures, you can begin to make a rough estimation. We can deduce that 7800 people voted on average in the last 3 election (65% of the 12000 electorate).
To win an election you need 50% of the votes cast plus 1.

That is 3901 votes according to our example above.

This will help in your initial grassroots organizing plans and your GOTV operations close to election day.

Get your free 7-day trial of Ecanvasser

Sign up now to have our campaign consultants guide you through your 7-day trial

Speak to salesSpeak to sales

Listening to our current users,  we are aware that there can be an internal struggle of team management when it comes to organizing quickly. To get people out on doors, the back and forth over Whatsapp, Messenger, and (insert other apps here) can be endless. We aim to streamline this process for you with Ecanvasser. Now organizers can commit via the Walk app (their canvassing app!) and get notified in the run-up to the event so that they don’t forget. By building it into the door knocking process life has gotten a lot easier for campaign managers.

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